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Predictive validity
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<h2 id="predictive-validity-in-modern-validity-theory">Predictive validity in modern validity theory</h2> <p>The latest <i>Standards for Educational and Psychological Testing</i><a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:5" href="#fn:5"><sup>5</sup></a> reflect <a href="/facts/Samuel_Messick/ew5MC7ln">Samuel Messick's</a> model of validity<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:6" href="#fn:6"><sup>6</sup></a> and do not use the term "predictive validity." Rather, the <i>Standards</i> describe validity-supporting "Evidence Based on Relationships [between the test scores and] Other Variables." </p><p>Predictive validity involves testing a group of subjects for a certain construct, and then comparing them with results obtained at some point in the future. </p> <h2 id="references">References</h2> <ol> <li id="fn:1"><p>Cronbach, L.J., & Meehl, P.E. (1955). Construct validity for psychological tests. Psychological Bulletin, 52, 281–302.[1] <a href="http://psychclassics.yorku.ca/Cronbach/construct.htm" target="_blank">http://psychclassics.yorku.ca/Cronbach/construct.htm</a> <a href="#fnref:1" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:2"><p>The Marketing Accountability Standards Board (MASB) endorses this definition as part of its ongoing Common Language in Marketing Project. <a href="/wiki/Marketing_Accountability_Standards_Board" target="_blank">/wiki/Marketing_Accountability_Standards_Board</a> <a href="#fnref:2" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:3"><p>"Where Predictive Validity May Fail To Make The Grade". <a href="https://kleinconsultants.com/where-predictive-validity-may-fail-to-make-the-grade/" target="_blank">https://kleinconsultants.com/where-predictive-validity-may-fail-to-make-the-grade/</a> <a href="#fnref:3" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:4"><p>"Do Psychometric Tests Work?". <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/do-psychometric-tests-work-dr-mark-parkinson" target="_blank">https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/do-psychometric-tests-work-dr-mark-parkinson</a> <a href="#fnref:4" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:5"><p>American Educational Research Association, American Psychological Association, & National Council on Measurement in Education. (1999). Standards for educational and psychological testing. Washington, DC: American Educational Research Association. <a href="#fnref:5" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:6"><p>Messick, S. (1995). Validity of psychological assessment: Validation of inferences from persons’ responses and performances as scientific inquiry into score meaning. American Psychologist, 50, 741–749. <a href="#fnref:6" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> </ol>