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Near-Earth supernova
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<h2 id="effects-on-earth">Effects on Earth</h2> <p>On average, a <a href="/facts/Supernova/Pfo2J23l">supernova</a> explosion occurs within 10 parsecs (33 light-years) of the Earth every 240 million years. <a href="/facts/Gamma_ray/5Drf913J">Gamma rays</a> are responsible for most of the adverse effects that a supernova may have on a life-harboring <a href="/facts/Terrestrial_planet/jpMC1ULt">terrestrial planet</a>. In Earth's case, gamma rays induce <a href="/facts/Radiolysis/BzPNnEvu">radiolysis</a> of diatomic N2 and O2 in the upper <a href="/facts/Earth%2527s_atmosphere/FV97Am25">atmosphere</a>, converting molecular <a href="/facts/Nitrogen/Nf1QpGDz">nitrogen</a> and <a href="/facts/Oxygen/acyn6o8r">oxygen</a> into <a href="/facts/Nitrogen_oxide/ved7hE6X">nitrogen oxides</a>, and thereby notably depleting the <a href="/facts/Ozone_layer/v4KfjalC">ozone layer</a>, enough to expose the surface to bio-harmful (mainly ultra-violet) <a href="/facts/Solar_radiation/SI26I7aD">solar</a> and <a href="/facts/Cosmic_radiation/uxCVdTKd">cosmic radiation</a>. <a href="/facts/Phytoplankton/tK5MUIkA">Phytoplankton</a> and <a href="/facts/Coral_Reef/xzeK6yAp">reef</a> communities would be particularly affected, which could severely deplete the base of the marine food chain.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:5" href="#fn:5"><sup>5</sup></a><a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:6" href="#fn:6"><sup>6</sup></a> </p><p>Historically, nearby supernovae may have influenced the <a href="/facts/Biodiversity/GruakEzs">biodiversity</a> of life on the planet. Geological records suggest that nearby supernova events have led to an increase in <a href="/facts/Cosmic_rays/uxCVdTKd">cosmic rays</a>, which in turn produced a cooler climate. A greater temperature difference between the poles and the equator created stronger winds, increased ocean mixing, and resulted in the transport of <a href="/facts/Nutrients/34bn4skK">nutrients</a> to shallow waters along the <a href="/facts/Continental_shelves/dpgHAR4U">continental shelves</a>. This led to greater biodiversity.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:7" href="#fn:7"><sup>7</sup></a><a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:8" href="#fn:8"><sup>8</sup></a> </p><p>Odenwald<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:9" href="#fn:9"><sup>9</sup></a> discusses the possible effects of a <a href="/facts/Betelgeuse/BsD9Ap7C">Betelgeuse</a> supernova on the Earth and on human space travel, especially the effects of the stream of charged particles that would reach the Earth about 100,000 years later than the initial light and other electromagnetic radiation produced by the explosion. However, it is estimated that it may take up to 1.5 million years for Betelgeuse to undergo a supernova.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:10" href="#fn:10"><sup>10</sup></a> </p> <h2 id="risk-by-supernova-type">Risk by supernova type</h2> Candidates within 300 pc<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:11" href="#fn:11"><sup>11</sup></a><a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:12" href="#fn:12"><sup>12</sup></a><a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:13" href="#fn:13"><sup>13</sup></a><table><tbody><tr><th>Star designation</th><th>Distance(pc)</th><th>Mass(<a href="/facts/Solar_mass/j6Auhku8">M☉</a>)</th><th>Evolutionary stage</th></tr><tr><td><a href="/facts/IK_Pegasi/dGbb9BVY">IK Pegasi</a></td><td>46</td><td>1.65/1.15</td><td><a href="/facts/White_dwarf/gIYlTtrC">White dwarf</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/facts/Sigma_Sagittarii/M38tLDGd">Sigma Sagittarii</a></td><td>70</td><td>6.5/6.3</td><td><a href="/facts/Main_sequence/DJ3Wq8kd">Main sequence</a> via stellar merger<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:14" href="#fn:14"><sup>14</sup></a></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/facts/Spica/bqWfSvp5">Spica</a></td><td>80</td><td>10.25/7.0</td><td><a href="/facts/Blue_subgiant_star/wD7o7E2Q">Blue subgiant</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/facts/Acrux/b5w2qew4">Acrux</a></td><td>99</td><td>17.8</td><td><a href="/facts/Main_sequence/DJ3Wq8kd">Main sequence</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/facts/Acrux/b5w2qew4">Alpha2 Crucis</a></td><td>99</td><td>15.52</td><td><a href="/facts/Main_sequence/DJ3Wq8kd">Main sequence</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/facts/Zeta_Ophiuchi/hlxHSI8e">Zeta Ophiuchi</a></td><td>112</td><td>20</td><td><a href="/facts/Main_sequence/DJ3Wq8kd">Main sequence</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/facts/Alpha_Lupi/t1zt6wUE">Alpha Lupi</a></td><td>141</td><td>10.1</td><td><a href="/facts/Blue_giant/JPjptPb7">Blue giant</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/facts/Betelgeuse/BsD9Ap7C">Betelgeuse</a></td><td>125–168.1</td><td>14–19</td><td><a href="/facts/Red_supergiant/hPBWvABE">Red supergiant</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/facts/Antares/adRhtq7X">Antares</a></td><td>169</td><td>12.4/10</td><td><a href="/facts/Red_supergiant/hPBWvABE">Red supergiant</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/facts/Pi_Puppis/Y0gNhbT3">Pi Puppis</a></td><td>250</td><td>11.7 ± 0.2<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:15" href="#fn:15"><sup>15</sup></a></td><td><a href="/facts/Red_supergiant/hPBWvABE">Red supergiant</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/facts/Rigel/WeeIXAAv">Rigel</a></td><td>264</td><td>18</td><td><a href="/facts/Blue_supergiant/8Bnl7Xpz">Blue supergiant</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/facts/S_Monocerotis/V9GfRRpH">S Monocerotis</a> A</td><td>282</td><td>29.1</td><td><a href="/facts/Main_sequence/DJ3Wq8kd">Main sequence</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href="/facts/S_Monocerotis/V9GfRRpH">S Monocerotis</a> B</td><td>282</td><td>21.3</td><td><a href="/facts/Main_sequence/DJ3Wq8kd">Main sequence</a></td></tr></tbody></table> <p>Speculation as to the effects of a nearby supernova on Earth often focuses on large stars as <a href="/facts/Type_II_supernova/623d9YYT">Type II supernova</a> candidates. Several prominent stars within a few hundred light years of the Sun are candidates for becoming supernovae in as little as 1,000 years. Although they would be extremely visible, if these "predictable" supernovae were to occur, they are thought to pose little threat to Earth. </p><p>It is estimated that a Type II supernova closer than eight <a href="/facts/Parsec/SwSsk57J">parsecs</a> (26 light-years) would destroy more than half of the Earth's ozone layer.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:16" href="#fn:16"><sup>16</sup></a> Such estimates are based on atmospheric modeling and the measured radiation flux from <a href="/facts/SN_1987A/zHyoUpBC">SN 1987A</a>, a Type II supernova in the <a href="/facts/Large_Magellanic_Cloud/7VYAehNa">Large Magellanic Cloud</a>. Estimates of the rate of supernova occurrence within 10 parsecs of the Earth vary from 0.05–0.5 per <a href="/facts/Gigayear/KrcuDaHm">billion years</a><a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:17" href="#fn:17"><sup>17</sup></a> to 10 per billion years.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:18" href="#fn:18"><sup>18</sup></a> Several studies assume that supernovae are concentrated in the spiral arms of the galaxy, and that supernova explosions near the Sun usually occur during the approximately 10 million years that the Sun takes to pass through one of these regions.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:19" href="#fn:19"><sup>19</sup></a> Examples of relatively near supernovae are the <a href="/facts/Vela_Supernova_Remnant/aE7W3LBP">Vela Supernova Remnant</a> (c. 800 ly, c. 12,000 years ago) and <a href="/facts/Geminga/Mh2ctXRa">Geminga</a> (c. 550 ly, c. 300,000 years ago). </p><p><a href="/facts/Type_Ia_supernova/W4rEFuDK">Type Ia supernovae</a> are thought to be potentially the most dangerous if they occur close enough to the Earth. Because Type Ia supernovae arise from dim, common <a href="/facts/White_dwarf/gIYlTtrC">white dwarf</a> stars, it is likely that a supernova that could affect the Earth will occur unpredictably and take place in a star system that is not well studied. The closest known candidate is <a href="/facts/IK_Pegasi/dGbb9BVY">IK Pegasi</a>.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:20" href="#fn:20"><sup>20</sup></a> It is currently estimated, however, that by the time it could become a threat, its velocity in relation to the Solar System would have carried IK Pegasi to a safe distance.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:21" href="#fn:21"><sup>21</sup></a> </p> <h2 id="past-events">Past events</h2> <p> Evidence from daughter products of short-lived <a href="/facts/Radioactive_isotope/5WpCfbdq">radioactive isotopes</a> shows that a nearby supernova helped determine the composition of the <a href="/facts/Solar_System/QIcLSazQ">Solar System</a> 4.5 billion years ago, and may even have triggered the formation of this system.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:22" href="#fn:22"><sup>22</sup></a> <a href="/facts/Supernova_nucleosynthesis/rbzAja5z">Supernova production of heavy elements</a> over astronomic periods of time ultimately made the <a href="/facts/Biochemistry/fa2pWEBp">chemistry of life</a> on Earth possible. </p><p>Past supernovae might be detectable on Earth in the form of metal isotope signatures in <a href="/facts/Rock_strata/w5D4VAwa">rock strata</a>. Subsequently, <a href="/facts/Iron/DkICCKIC">iron-60</a> enrichment has been reported in deep-sea rock of the <a href="/facts/Pacific_Ocean/bdxgXRVM">Pacific Ocean</a> by researchers from the <a href="/facts/Technical_University_of_Munich/14UXILEo">Technical University of Munich</a>.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:23" href="#fn:23"><sup>23</sup></a><a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:24" href="#fn:24"><sup>24</sup></a><a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:25" href="#fn:25"><sup>25</sup></a> Twenty-three atoms of this iron isotope were found in the top 2 cm of crust (this layer corresponds to times from 13.4 million years ago to the present).<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:26" href="#fn:26"><sup>26</sup></a> It is estimated that the supernova must have occurred in the last 5 million years or else it would have had to happen very close to the solar system to account for so much iron-60 still being here. A supernova occurring so close would have probably caused a mass extinction, which did not happen in that time frame.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:27" href="#fn:27"><sup>27</sup></a> The quantity of iron seems to indicate that the supernova was less than 30 parsecs away. On the other hand, the authors estimate the frequency of supernovae at a distance less than <i>D</i> (for reasonably small <i>D</i>) as around (<i>D</i>/10 <a href="/facts/Parsec/SwSsk57J">pc</a>)3 per billion years, which gives a probability of only around 5% for a supernova within 30 pc in the last 5 million years. They point out that the probability may be higher because the Solar System is entering the <a href="/facts/Orion_Arm/Vo4Clzk5">Orion Arm</a> of the Milky Way. In 2019, the group in Munich found interstellar dust in Antarctic surface snow not older than 20 years which they relate to the <a href="/facts/Local_Interstellar_Cloud/xm3wKNrN">Local Interstellar Cloud</a>. The detection of interstellar dust in Antarctica was done by the measurement of the radionuclides Fe-60 and Mn-53 by highly sensitive <a href="/facts/Accelerator_mass_spectrometry/kCoug2Um">accelerator mass spectrometry</a>, where Fe-60 is again the clear signature for a recent near-Earth supernova origin.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:28" href="#fn:28"><sup>28</sup></a> </p><p><a href="/facts/Gamma_ray_burst/oRRU6Fhn">Gamma ray bursts</a> from "dangerously close" supernova explosions occur two or more times per billion years, and this has been proposed as the cause of the <a href="/facts/Ordovician-Silurian_extinction_events/jLhHjlPf">end-Ordovician extinction</a>, which resulted in the death of nearly 60% of the oceanic life on Earth.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:29" href="#fn:29"><sup>29</sup></a> Multiple supernovae in a cluster of dying hypergiant stars that occurred in rapid succession on an astronomical and geological timescale have also been proposed as a trigger for the multiple pulses of the <a href="/facts/Late_Devonian_extinction/gkThyMzz">Late Devonian extinction</a>, in particular the <a href="/facts/Hangenberg_event/H46E1n4E">Hangenberg event</a> at the terminus of the Devonian.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:30" href="#fn:30"><sup>30</sup></a> </p><p>In 1998 a <a href="/facts/Supernova_remnant/tYboe2n4">supernova remnant</a>, <a href="/facts/RX_J0852.0%25E2%2588%25924622/YrUX3oSz">RX J0852.0−4622</a>, was found in front (apparently) of the larger <a href="/facts/Vela_Supernova_Remnant/aE7W3LBP">Vela Supernova Remnant</a>.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:31" href="#fn:31"><sup>31</sup></a> Gamma rays from the decay of <a href="/facts/Titanium-44/EkvlaFew">titanium-44</a> (<a href="/facts/Half-life/kGVH8BAB">half-life</a> about 60 years) were independently discovered emanating from it,<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:32" href="#fn:32"><sup>32</sup></a> showing that it must have exploded fairly recently (perhaps around the year 1200), but there is no historical record of it. Its distance is controversial, but some scientists argue from the flux of gamma rays and X-rays that the supernova remnant is only 200 parsecs (650–700 <a href="/facts/Light-year/IGc5NdQb">light-years</a>) away.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:33" href="#fn:33"><sup>33</sup></a> If so, its occurring 800 years ago is a statistically unexpected event because supernovae less than 200 parsecs away are estimated to occur less than once per 100,000 years.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:34" href="#fn:34"><sup>34</sup></a> </p> <h2 id="see-also">See also</h2> <ul><li><a href="/facts/List_of_supernova_candidates/Cg60K4v9">List of supernova candidates</a></li></ul> <h2 id="references">References</h2> <ol> <li id="fn:1"><p>Joshua Sokol (Jan 14, 2016). "What If History's Brightest Supernova Exploded In Earth's Backyard?". The Atlantic. <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2016/01/rare-supernova-crab-nebula/424125/" target="_blank">https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2016/01/rare-supernova-crab-nebula/424125/</a> <a href="#fnref:1" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:2"><p>Firestone, R. B. (July 2014). "Observation of 23 Supernovae That Exploded <300 pc from Earth during the past 300 kyr". The Astrophysical Journal. 789 (1): 11. Bibcode:2014ApJ...789...29F. doi:10.1088/0004-637X/789/1/29. 29. <a href="https://zenodo.org/record/895414" target="_blank">https://zenodo.org/record/895414</a> <a href="#fnref:2" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:3"><p>Mukhopadhyay, Mainak; Lunardini, Cecilia; Timmes, F. X.; Zuber, Kai (August 2020). "Presupernova Neutrinos: Directional Sensitivity and Prospects for Progenitor Identification". The Astrophysical Journal. 899 (2): 153. arXiv:2004.02045. Bibcode:2020ApJ...899..153M. doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab99a6. ISSN 0004-637X. <a href="https://doi.org/10.3847%2F1538-4357%2Fab99a6" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.3847%2F1538-4357%2Fab99a6</a> <a href="#fnref:3" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:4"><p>"Acrux". stars.astro.illinois.edu. Retrieved 2024-09-16. <a href="http://stars.astro.illinois.edu/sow/acrux.html" target="_blank">http://stars.astro.illinois.edu/sow/acrux.html</a> <a href="#fnref:4" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:5"><p>Ellis, J.; Schramm, D. N. (1993). "Could a nearby supernova explosion have caused a mass extinction?". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 92 (1): 235–8. arXiv:hep-ph/9303206. Bibcode:1995PNAS...92..235E. doi:10.1073/pnas.92.1.235. PMC 42852. PMID 11607506. <a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC42852" target="_blank">https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC42852</a> <a href="#fnref:5" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:6"><p>Whitten, R. C.; Borucki, W. J.; Wolfe, J. H.; Cuzzi, J. (1976). "Effect of nearby supernova explosions on atmospheric ozone". Nature. 263 (5576): 398–400. Bibcode:1976Natur.263..398W. doi:10.1038/263398a0. S2CID 4154916. <a href="/wiki/Bibcode_(identifier)" target="_blank">/wiki/Bibcode_(identifier)</a> <a href="#fnref:6" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:7"><p>Petersen, Carolyn Collins (March 22, 2023). "Did Supernovae Help Push Life to Become More Diverse?". Universe Today. Retrieved 2023-03-23. <a href="https://www.universetoday.com/160686/did-supernovae-help-push-life-to-become-more-diverse/" target="_blank">https://www.universetoday.com/160686/did-supernovae-help-push-life-to-become-more-diverse/</a> <a href="#fnref:7" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:8"><p>Svensmark, Henrik (March 16, 2023). "A persistent influence of supernovae on biodiversity over the Phanerozoic". Ecology and Evolution. 13 (3). Wiley Online Library: e9898. Bibcode:2023EcoEv..13E9898S. doi:10.1002/ece3.9898. PMC 10019915. PMID 36937070. e9898. <a href="/wiki/Henrik_Svensmark" target="_blank">/wiki/Henrik_Svensmark</a> <a href="#fnref:8" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:9"><p>Odenwald, Sten (2017-12-06). "The Betelgeuse Supernova". Huffington Post. Retrieved 21 April 2020. <a href="https://www.huffingtonpost.com/dr-sten-odenwald/the-betelgeuse-supernova_b_6583546.html" target="_blank">https://www.huffingtonpost.com/dr-sten-odenwald/the-betelgeuse-supernova_b_6583546.html</a> <a href="#fnref:9" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:10"><p>Neuhäuser, Ralph; Torres, Guillermo; Mugrauer, Markus; Neuhäuser, Dagmar L.; Chapman, Jesse; Luge, Daniela; Cosci, Matteo (2022-09-05). "Colour evolution of Betelgeuse and Antares over two millennia, derived from historical records, as a new constraint on mass and age". Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. 516 (1): 693–719. arXiv:2207.04702. doi:10.1093/mnras/stac1969. ISSN 0035-8711. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1093%2Fmnras%2Fstac1969" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1093%2Fmnras%2Fstac1969</a> <a href="#fnref:10" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:11"><p>Firestone, R. B. (July 2014). "Observation of 23 Supernovae That Exploded <300 pc from Earth during the past 300 kyr". The Astrophysical Journal. 789 (1): 11. Bibcode:2014ApJ...789...29F. doi:10.1088/0004-637X/789/1/29. 29. <a href="https://zenodo.org/record/895414" target="_blank">https://zenodo.org/record/895414</a> <a href="#fnref:11" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:12"><p>Mukhopadhyay, Mainak; Lunardini, Cecilia; Timmes, F. X.; Zuber, Kai (August 2020). "Presupernova Neutrinos: Directional Sensitivity and Prospects for Progenitor Identification". The Astrophysical Journal. 899 (2): 153. arXiv:2004.02045. Bibcode:2020ApJ...899..153M. doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab99a6. ISSN 0004-637X. <a href="https://doi.org/10.3847%2F1538-4357%2Fab99a6" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.3847%2F1538-4357%2Fab99a6</a> <a href="#fnref:12" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:13"><p>"Acrux". stars.astro.illinois.edu. Retrieved 2024-09-16. <a href="http://stars.astro.illinois.edu/sow/acrux.html" target="_blank">http://stars.astro.illinois.edu/sow/acrux.html</a> <a href="#fnref:13" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:14"><p>Waisberg, Idel; Klein, Ygal; Katz, Boaz (April 2025). "Hidden Companions to Intermediate-mass Stars. XXVI. Uncovering Nunki = Sigma Sagittarii as a 6.5 M⊙ + 6.3 M⊙, 0.60 au Binary*". Research Notes of the AAS. 9 (4): 71. doi:10.3847/2515-5172/adc739. ISSN 2515-5172. <a href="https://doi.org/10.3847%2F2515-5172%2Fadc739" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.3847%2F2515-5172%2Fadc739</a> <a href="#fnref:14" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:15"><p>Tetzlaff, N.; Neuhäuser, R.; Hohle, M. M. (2011-01-01). "A catalogue of young runaway Hipparcos stars within 3kpc from the Sun". Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. 410 (1): 190–200. arXiv:1007.4883. Bibcode:2011MNRAS.410..190T. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2966.2010.17434.x. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1111%2Fj.1365-2966.2010.17434.x" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1111%2Fj.1365-2966.2010.17434.x</a> <a href="#fnref:15" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:16"><p>Gehrels, N.; et al. (2003). "Ozone Depletion from Nearby Supernovae". The Astrophysical Journal. 585 (2): 1169–1176. arXiv:astro-ph/0211361. Bibcode:2003ApJ...585.1169G. doi:10.1086/346127. 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