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CRP-2B
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<h2 id="criticism">Criticism</h2> <p>The 80% survival rate assumption has since come under significant criticism from academics and organizations like the <a href="/facts/Federation_of_American_Scientists/KNjX3s7U">Federation of American Scientists</a> (FAS). FAS criticized CRP-2B for failing to consider the potential ecological impacts of nuclear war, including <a href="/facts/Nuclear_winter/lfqcfqu0">nuclear winter</a>, disruptions to agriculture, and the radioactive contamination of water supplies. It further criticized CRP-2B for studying only direct and immediate consequences of the attacks, ignoring the long-term threats to human health posed by <a href="/facts/Ionizing_radiation/vw0d9GaT">ionizing radiation</a> and social problems caused by breakdowns in law and order, strife between relocated populations and host communities, and disruptions to the supply of medical equipment.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:9" href="#fn:9"><sup>9</sup></a> <a href="/facts/Stanford_University/JEQeF9z2">Stanford University</a> radiologist and anti-nuclear activist <a href="/facts/Herbert_L._Abrams/nBAKXdId">Herbert L. Abrams</a> was particularly critical of the scenario's assumptions regarding the injured. He noted that hospitals would quickly be overwhelmed by the number of victims, particularly burn victims, who already face shortages of beds, medical personnel, and resources. Abrams estimated that because 80% of hospitals are in urban areas and would so be destroyed in the attack, there would 1 bed for every 563 severely injured patients. Hospitals would face similar post-attack shortages for blood, plasma, and other fluids and drugs and bandages, which would prevent effective treatment of the wounded and patients with chronic illnesses.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:10" href="#fn:10"><sup>10</sup></a> Taking into account these impacts on medical facilities, Abrams estimates that only 60 million Americans would survive in the CRP-2B scenario, before nuclear winter, social strife, and disruptions to the food supply are considered.<a class="footnote-ref" id="fnref:11" href="#fn:11"><sup>11</sup></a> </p> <h2 id="see-also">See also</h2> <p><a href="/facts/A_Day_Called_X/vKnAcIDe">A Day Called X</a> </p> <h2 id="references">References</h2> <ol> <li id="fn:1"><p>Lee Ben Clarke (1999). Mission Improbable. University of Chicago Press. p. 36. ISBN 0-226-10941-0. <a href="0-226-10941-0" target="_blank">0-226-10941-0</a> <a href="#fnref:1" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:2"><p>Fredric Solomon and Robert Q. Marston (1986). The Medical Implications of Nuclear War. National Academies Press. p. 590. ISBN 0-309-03636-4. <a href="0-309-03636-4" target="_blank">0-309-03636-4</a> <a href="#fnref:2" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:3"><p>Bumstead, Pamela (December 6, 1985). NUCLEAR WINTER: THE ANTHROPOLOGY OF HUMAN SURVIVAL (PDF). 84th Annual Meeting of the American Anthropological Association. Washington, DC: American Anthropological Association. <a href="https://fas.org/sgp/othergov/doe/lanl/lib-www/la-pubs/00173165.pdf" target="_blank">https://fas.org/sgp/othergov/doe/lanl/lib-www/la-pubs/00173165.pdf</a> <a href="#fnref:3" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:4"><p>Lee Ben Clarke (1999). Mission Improbable. University of Chicago Press. p. 36. ISBN 0-226-10941-0. <a href="0-226-10941-0" target="_blank">0-226-10941-0</a> <a href="#fnref:4" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:5"><p>Lee Ben Clarke (1999). Mission Improbable. University of Chicago Press. p. 36. ISBN 0-226-10941-0. <a href="0-226-10941-0" target="_blank">0-226-10941-0</a> <a href="#fnref:5" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:6"><p>Lee Ben Clarke (1999). Mission Improbable. University of Chicago Press. p. 36. ISBN 0-226-10941-0. <a href="0-226-10941-0" target="_blank">0-226-10941-0</a> <a href="#fnref:6" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:7"><p>Jennifer Leaning and Langley Carleton Keyes (1983). Counterfeit Ark: Crisis Relocation for Nuclear War. Ballinger Pub. Co. pp. xix. ISBN 0-88410-940-2. <a href="0-88410-940-2" target="_blank">0-88410-940-2</a> <a href="#fnref:7" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:8"><p>Lee Ben Clarke (1999). Mission Improbable. University of Chicago Press. p. 36. ISBN 0-226-10941-0. <a href="0-226-10941-0" target="_blank">0-226-10941-0</a> <a href="#fnref:8" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:9"><p>Bumstead, Pamela (December 6, 1985). NUCLEAR WINTER: THE ANTHROPOLOGY OF HUMAN SURVIVAL (PDF). 84th Annual Meeting of the American Anthropological Association. Washington, DC: American Anthropological Association. <a href="https://fas.org/sgp/othergov/doe/lanl/lib-www/la-pubs/00173165.pdf" target="_blank">https://fas.org/sgp/othergov/doe/lanl/lib-www/la-pubs/00173165.pdf</a> <a href="#fnref:9" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:10"><p>Abrams, Herbert (1986). "Medical Supply and Demand in a Post-Nuclear-War World". In Marston, Solomon (ed.). The Medical Implications of Nuclear War. Washington, DC: National Academies Press (US). Retrieved 25 April 2018. <a href="/wiki/Herbert_L._Abrams" target="_blank">/wiki/Herbert_L._Abrams</a> <a href="#fnref:10" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> <li id="fn:11"><p>Bumstead, Pamela (December 6, 1985). NUCLEAR WINTER: THE ANTHROPOLOGY OF HUMAN SURVIVAL (PDF). 84th Annual Meeting of the American Anthropological Association. Washington, DC: American Anthropological Association. <a href="https://fas.org/sgp/othergov/doe/lanl/lib-www/la-pubs/00173165.pdf" target="_blank">https://fas.org/sgp/othergov/doe/lanl/lib-www/la-pubs/00173165.pdf</a> <a href="#fnref:11" class="footnote-back-ref">↩</a></p></li> </ol>