In probability theory, the arcsine distribution is the probability distribution whose cumulative distribution function involves the arcsine and the square root:
for 0 ≤ x ≤ 1, and whose probability density function is
on (0, 1). The standard arcsine distribution is a special case of the beta distribution with α = β = 1/2. That is, if X {\displaystyle X} is an arcsine-distributed random variable, then X ∼ B e t a ( 1 2 , 1 2 ) {\displaystyle X\sim {\rm {Beta}}{\bigl (}{\tfrac {1}{2}},{\tfrac {1}{2}}{\bigr )}} . By extension, the arcsine distribution is a special case of the Pearson type I distribution.
The arcsine distribution appears in the Lévy arcsine law, in the Erdős arcsine law, and as the Jeffreys prior for the probability of success of a Bernoulli trial. The arcsine probability density is a distribution that appears in several random-walk fundamental theorems. In a fair coin toss random walk, the probability for the time of the last visit to the origin is distributed as an (U-shaped) arcsine distribution. In a two-player fair-coin-toss game, a player is said to be in the lead if the random walk (that started at the origin) is above the origin. The most probable number of times that a given player will be in the lead, in a game of length 2N, is not N. On the contrary, N is the least likely number of times that the player will be in the lead. The most likely number of times in the lead is 0 or 2N (following the arcsine distribution).